簽到天數: 1765 天 [LV.Master]伴壇終老
|
zjk369|2018-10-20 13:20
|
顯示全部樓層
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 8.2N 164.7E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.3N 163.1E, APPROXIMATELY
1125 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 200211Z GMI 89GHZ PARTIAL MICROWAVE IMAGE
DEPICT AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH DEEP CONVECTIVE
POCKETS LOCATED NEAR THE CENTER. THE DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY
LOCATED IN AN AREA OF EXCELLENT EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, LOW (10-15
KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND VERY WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES
(30-31 CELSIUS). GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THE SYSTEM WILL TRACK TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AND BEGIN TO CONSOLIDATE
QUICKLY AND INTENSIFY TO WARNING CRITERIA WITHIN THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
|
|