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【澳洲】[35kts]17S LUA max:95kt 強度快速減弱! JTWC:FW!!

簽到天數: 691 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

frintezza|2012-3-9 12:17 | 顯示全部樓層
LOW了
AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 12.6S 111.4E,
APPROXIMATELY 600 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA.
ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN AREA OF BROAD
CYCLONIC TURNING AND FRAGMENTED CONVECTION AROUND A LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EVIDENT IN A 081630Z OSCAT PASS.
ADDITIONALLY, A 082140Z SSMIS IMAGE SHOWS FORMATIVE CONVECTION
BANDING SPIRALING TOWARD THE CENTER OF THIS DISTURBANCE. NUMERICAL
MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS FORMATION OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. BECAUSE THIS DISTURBANCE IS JUST BEGINNING TO
ORGANIZE, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

EC也有反應~



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