開啟輔助訪問
 找回密碼
 立即加入
查看數: 5833 評論數: 2 收藏 0切换到帖子模式
    組圖打開中,請稍候......
發佈時間: 2018-9-26 20:10

正文摘要:

  基本資料   編號    :92 S 擾動編號日期:2018 年 09 月 26 日 20 時 撤編日期  :2018 年 09 月 00 日 00 時 92S.INVEST.15kts.1010mb.3S.74.5E ...

t02436 發表於 2018-10-3 01:38
06Z已評級Medium
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 4.4S 76.6E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.1S 76.2E, APPROXIMATELY 235
NM NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND A 020123Z 91GHZ SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT PERSISTENT
DEEP CONVECTION WITH A SINGLE CONVECTIVE BAND WRAPPING INTO THE LLCC
FROM THE SOUTH AND EAST. THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS
MARGINAL, WITH MODERATE TO HIGH VWS (20-25KTS) OVER THE LLCC BUT
WITH LOWER VALUES ENCROACHING FROM THE EAST. HOWEVER, VWS IS OFFSET
BY STRONG DIVERGENCE ALOFT DUE TO POLEWARD OUTFLOW. SSTS REMAIN
FAVORABLE IN THE SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN, BETWEEN 28-29 CELSIUS.
GLOBAL MODELS GENERALLY AGREE ON A MEANDERING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
TRACK AS IT DEVELOPS OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.

abpwsair.jpg

92S_gefs_latest.png
周子堯@FB 發表於 2018-9-27 17:58
JTWC 09Z評級Low
abpwsair-H.jpg
20180927.0930.himawari-8.ir.92S.INVEST.15kts.1010mb.2.9S.76.7E.100pc.jpg




本平台僅供學術討論之用,預報應以氣象局為準

威普網站虛擬主機贊助公司

臺灣第一個天氣類型社群平台 即時天氣資訊、精準颱風動態

線上客服
FB傳送訊息
廣告行銷
精準行銷 物超所值
官方粉專
發佈 快速回復 返回頂部 返回列表