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13L.Mindy 近岸命名 登陸美國佛州 轉化溫氣

簽到天數: 1650 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2021-9-2 08:59 | 顯示全部樓層
逐漸臨岸北上,數值多較不支持此系統能有所發展
91L_gefs_latest (1).png 91L_tracks_latest.png
two_atl_2d1 (37).png
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簽到天數: 1650 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2021-9-1 13:28 | 顯示全部樓層
NHC展望略微提升至20%
1. A broad area of low pressure is producing disorganized shower
activity over the southwestern Caribbean Sea.  Some slow development
of this system is possible over the next couple of days while it
moves westward or west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph toward Central
America.  Thereafter, land interaction with Central America and the
Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico will likely limit further development of
this system.  Regardless of development, heavy rains are possible
across portions of Central America and the Yucatan Peninsula late
this week and this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
two_atl_2d1 (36).png two_atl_5d1 (37).png 91L_gefs_latest.png
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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2021-9-1 07:00 | 顯示全部樓層
NHC一開始的雲圖定位錯誤,應為這個系統
  NHC:10%
20210831.2220.goes-16.vis.2km.91L.INVEST.25kts.1009mb.12.3N.78.1W.pc.jpg two_atl_2d2 (14).png two_atl_5d2 (13).png

2. A broad area of low pressure is producing some disorganized shower
activity over the southwestern Caribbean Sea.  Some slow development
of this system is possible over the next couple of days as it moves
westward or west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph toward Central
America.  Thereafter, land interaction with Central America and the
Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico will likely limit further development of
this system.  
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
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