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06L.Edouard 速報升C3 北大西睽違兩年首MH!

簽到天數: 241 天

[LV.8]以壇為家I

krichard2011|2014-9-7 16:25 | 顯示全部樓層
剛剛疑似NHC順序錯亂...
稍早已修正 剛剛0%的那個 應該是在佛州附近的那隻
這個擾動5天成旋機率高達60%
An extensive area of cloudiness and disorganized thunderstorms is
associated with a large tropical wave that has recently emerged
off of the coast of Africa just west of Guinea.  Environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development
of this disturbance during the next several days while it moves
westward or west-northwestward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.
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簽到天數: 241 天

[LV.8]以壇為家I

krichard2011|2014-9-7 13:59 | 顯示全部樓層
NHC評Low 不過型成機率仍只有0%
GFS 則預測前途一片看好...
看起來也可能會是個猛貨@@

3. A weak trough of low pressure over Georgia is producing disorganized
cloudiness and showers from north Florida to the coastal waters of
the Carolinas. Development of this system is unlikely while it
drifts northeastward over the coastal sections of Georgia and the
Carolinas during the next couple of days. After that time, this low
is expected to merge with a frontal zone over the western Atlantic
Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

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