簽到天數: 3279 天 [LV.Master]伴壇終老
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t02436|2017-9-3 21:54
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JTWC評級Low
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
15.4N 134.5E, APPROXIMATELY 785 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES.
ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS LOW LEVEL
BANDING WRAPPING INTO A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER THAT HAS
PERSISTENT CONVECTION LOCATED OVER IT. A 030547Z SSMIS 85GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR THE CENTER OF A
BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH LIGHT LOW LEVEL BANDING BEGINNING
TO FORM. THE DISTURBANCE IS IN AN AREA OF STRONG EQUATORWARD
OUTFLOW, LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND VERY
WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30-32 CELSIUS). GLOBAL MODELS ARE
CURRENTLY NOT SHOWING DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
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