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16E.Max 發展出乎預期 巔峰登陸墨西哥

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    組圖打開中,請稍候......
發佈時間: 2017-9-13 02:39

正文摘要:

本帖最後由 霧峰追風者 於 2017-12-12 07:12 編輯   一級颶風   編號:16 E 名稱:Max 以上資料來自:NHC、颱風論壇整理製作

t02436 發表於 2017-9-14 20:45
原先不看好命名直接一頭撞進墨西哥,結果12Z加發特報升格C1,登陸前還有再增強的機會,真是驚奇的一生...
000
WTPZ41 KNHC 141153
TCDEP1

Hurricane Max Special Discussion Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP162017
700 AM CDT Thu Sep 14 2017

Radar imagery from Acapulco, Mexico, indicates that Max has
continued to improve in structure and now has a well-defined eye
and closed eyewall.
An eye has also occasionally been evident in
infrared satellite imagery.  Based on these signs, Max has been
upgraded to a hurricane with 65-kt winds.

Max appears to be cruising eastward just offshore the coast of
Mexico.  However, the hurricane is still expected to move inland
later today.  The 12-hour point has been adjusted southward and
increased to 75 kt to account for Max's recent motion, possible
delayed landfall, and increased opportunity to strengthen before it
reaches land.

The government of Mexico has changed the Tropical Storm Warning and
Hurricane Watch from Zihuatanejo to Punta Maldonado to a Hurricane
Warning.  Life-threatening flooding rainfall is still expected in
portions of the states of Guerrero and Oaxaca.

This special advisory is being issued in lieu of the regularly
scheduled 7 AM CDT intermediate public advisory.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  14/1200Z 16.3N 100.4W   65 KT  75 MPH
12H  14/1800Z 16.6N  99.7W   75 KT  85 MPH
24H  15/0600Z 16.8N  99.0W   35 KT  40 MPH...INLAND
36H  15/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Berg

115728_5day_cone_with_line.png

20170914.1200.goes-15.irbd.16E.MAX.70kts.988mb.16.3N.100.2W.100pc.jpg

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老農民版夜神月 發表於 2017-9-14 11:57
本帖最後由 老農民版夜神月 於 2017-9-14 15:00 編輯

結果居然在登陸前一刻命名了XD  
原本的型態的確不好命名,但登陸前對流成功爆在中心上,也算實至名歸了!
總比之前在台灣附近的那個谷超好太多了了XDD
t02436 發表於 2017-9-14 02:38
NHC 18Z報還評價30節,結果不知道為什麼FNMOC已經顯示命名Max的狀態了...
BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Sixteen-E Intermediate Advisory Number 1A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP162017
100 PM CDT Wed Sep 13 2017

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...
...VERY HEAVY RAINS ALREADY ON THE COAST OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.1N 101.6W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM WSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

174135_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

FireShot Capture 198 - FNMOC Satellite Data Tropi_ - https___152.80.49.110_tcweb.png

20170913.1324.f18.91pct91h91v.16E.SIXTEEN.25kts.1006mb.16N.101.8W.095pc.jpg

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