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1724 海葵 環境惡劣 於南海北部減弱消散

簽到天數: 601 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

霧峰追風者|2017-11-8 10:08 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC 01Z評級LOW
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 130.N 99W,
APPROXIMATELY 575 NM SOUTHEAST OF MANILLA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED AND
ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) BELOW AN AREA OF
DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. THE MTSAT 850MB RELATIVE VORTICITY PRODUCT
REVEALS A MODERATE POSITIVE VORTICITY ENVIORNMENT. THE UPPER-LEVEL
ENVIORNMENT IS CHARATERIZED BY AN AREA OF MODERATE DIVERGENCE AND
FAVORABLE 5-10 KNOT SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE
28-30 DEGREES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10
TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.


abpwsair (7).jpg 20171108.0120.himawari-8.ircolor.99W.INVEST.15kts.1005mb.10.7N.130.8E.100pc.jpg


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簽到天數: 601 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

霧峰追風者|2017-11-8 08:42 | 顯示全部樓層
JMA 預測9日21時有機會升格熱帶低壓。
17110921.png
CWB 預估10日也有機會發展為颱風。
cwb天氣圖.png

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