簽到天數: 1650 天 [LV.Master]伴壇終老
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老農民版夜神月|2019-1-15 09:32
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本帖最後由 老農民版夜神月 於 2019-1-15 09:36 編輯
JTWC15/00Z再升Medium
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 01W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 5.4N 155.9E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.0N 153.5E, APPROXIMATELY 170
NM SOUTHEAST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND
A 142321Z MHS 89GHZ IMAGE DEPICT WEAK, SCATTERED CONVECTION BECOMING
BETTER ORGANIZED AROUND A BROAD AREA OF LOW LEVEL ROTATION. THE
SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FUTURE
DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM (28 TO 30 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES,
LOW (5 TO 10 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND STRONG DIFFLUENCE
ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE SYSTEM WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT
10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR
1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO
MEDIUM.
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