開啟輔助訪問
 找回密碼
 立即加入

97S 遭Haleh併吞

查看數: 5941 評論數: 2 收藏 0切换到帖子模式
    組圖打開中,請稍候......
發佈時間: 2019-3-1 08:08

正文摘要:

  基本資料   編號    :97 S 擾動編號日期:2019 年 03 月 01 日 07 時 撤編日期  :2019 年 03 月 03 日 19 時 97S.INVEST.15kts-1010mb-7.0S-6.33E ...

jrchang5 發表於 2019-3-3 06:26
即將併入17S Haleh 的環流中,JTWC已於02/18Z取消評級,不再看好發展。
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 8.2S 64.9E, IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

20190302.2100.msg1.x.ir1km_bw.97SINVEST.20kts-1007mb-96S-654E.100pc.jpg

jrchang5 發表於 2019-3-1 22:35
JTWC於01/0930Z評級Low。
(2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 7.0S
63.0E, APPROXIMATELY 565 NM WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 010538Z MHS 89GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGE SHOW A BROAD CIRCULATION WITH POCKETS OF FLARING CONVECTION
OVER THE CENTER. A 010539Z PARTIAL ASCAT PASS DEPICTS A BROAD
CIRCULATION WITH PRIMARILY 15 KNOT WINDS LOCATED NEAR THE CENTER.
THE DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED IN AN AREA OF GOOD EQUATORWARD
UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE, MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20-30
KNOTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-30 CELSIUS). GLOBAL
MODELS CURRENTLY SHOW SEVERAL SOLUTIONS FOR THE SYSTEM�㷧 TRACK AND
INTENSITY DUE TO THE PROXIMITY OF INVEST 96S. THE UKMET MODEL
INDICATES AN EAST AND THEN SOUTH-EASTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS WITH 97S BEING ABSORBED INTO 96S. NAVGEM AND GFS SHOW
THE SYSTEM AS QUASISTATIONARY FOR SEVERAL DAYS BEFORE INTENSIFYING
AND MOVING EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15
TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

abpwsair.jpg 20190301.1330.msg1.x.ir1km_bw.97SINVEST.20kts-1005mb-75S-636E.100pc.jpg

本平台僅供學術討論之用,預報應以氣象局為準

威普網站虛擬主機贊助公司

臺灣第一個天氣類型社群平台 即時天氣資訊、精準颱風動態

線上客服
FB傳送訊息
廣告行銷
精準行銷 物超所值
官方粉專
發佈 快速回復 返回頂部 返回列表