1. An area of disturbed weather located about 1200 miles southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to
produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions are generally conducive for additional development, and
this system could become a tropical depression this weekend or early
next week before it reaches cooler waters while moving westward to
west-northwestward at 10-15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.