老農民版夜神月

GFS12Z反而跟EC黃金交叉了,GFS支持發展的成員日益增多而EC反映日趨微弱

king111807

NHC展望升至High，70%

1. A tropical wave accompanied by a well-defined low pressure system
is located about 400 miles southeast of the southern Cabo Verde
Islands.  Associated shower and thunderstorm activity continues to
show signs of organization, and environmental conditions are
conducive for a tropical depression to form during the next couple
of days while system moves generally westward at about 15 mph across
the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

老農民版夜神月

這隻是EC(包含系集也支持)前幾天預報出來的風王,巨刷級大物
結果這個非洲波真的出海時卻反而轉向不那麼支持發展了

king111807

NHC展望升至50%

1. A tropical wave located just west of the African coast is
producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms that are
showing signs of organization. Environmental conditions are
forecast to be conducive for gradual development of this
disturbance over the next several days, and a tropical depression
is likely to form by the weekend while the system moves westward at
about 15 mph across the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

king111807

NHC展望升至Medium，40%

1. A tropical wave located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic is
producing an area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual
development of this disturbance over the next several days, and a
tropical depression is likely to form by later this week while the
system moves westward at about 15 mph across the eastern tropical
Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

king111807

NHC展望升至30%

1. A tropical wave has emerged off the west coast of Africa near
the coasts of Guinea and Sierra Leone.  Environmental conditions
are forecast to be conducive for gradual development of this
disturbance, and a tropical depression is likely to form by late
this week while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across
the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.