簽到天數: 971 天 [LV.10]以壇為家III
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jwpk9899|2013-10-26 19:40
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MFR最新的一報認為有機會增強到中級熱帶風暴(相當於老J的TS下限)
不過強度只是勉強達到而已 而且目前中心甚至有裸露的現象
可能會影響到他未來是否能成為南印度洋2013-14風季的第一旋
WTIO30 FMEE 260642
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
0.A WARNING NUMBER: 3/1/20132014
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1
2.A POSITION 2013/10/26 AT 0600 UTC:
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.6 S / 67.9 E
(TEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL NINE
DEGREES EAST)
MOVEMENT : SOUTH-WEST 8 KT
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: 2.5/2.5/D 1.0/18 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 1001 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 30 KT
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) :NIL
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: SE: 220 SW: 150 NW:
7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 700 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2013/10/26 18 UTC: 11.7 S / 66.4 E, MAX WIND=030 KT, TROPICAL
DEPRESSION
24H: 2013/10/27 06 UTC: 12.2 S / 64.5 E, MAX WIND=035 KT, MODERATE
TROPICAL STORM
36H: 2013/10/27 18 UTC: 12.4 S / 62.6 E, MAX WIND=035 KT, MODERATE
TROPICAL STORM
48H: 2013/10/28 06 UTC: 12.6 S / 60.8 E, MAX WIND=030 KT, TROPICAL
DEPRESSION
60H: 2013/10/28 18 UTC: 12.7 S / 58.7 E, MAX WIND=025 KT, TROPICAL
DISTURBANCE
72H: 2013/10/29 06 UTC: 12.9 S / 56.7 E, MAX WIND=025 KT, TROPICAL
DISTURBANCE
2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK :
96H: 2013/10/30 06 UTC: 13.5 S / 51.9 E, MAX WIND=020 KT, LOW
2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATIONS:
T=2.5- CI=2.5-
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