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10P.June 中心掠過新喀里多尼亞 直線前往紐西蘭*

查看數: 2072 評論數: 4 收藏 0切换到帖子模式
    組圖打開中,請稍候......
發佈時間: 2014-1-14 05:28

正文摘要:

本帖最後由 krichard2011 於 2014-8-26 23:56 編輯   一級熱帶氣旋      編號:10 P    名稱:JUNE   基本資料          編號 ...

jwpk9899 發表於 2014-1-18 09:04
這支~有人理它命名 但是換標題不理 呵呵
這支呢 斐濟昨天命名為June 目前上望澳式C2
而老J上望40kt
而路徑方面 兩個機構都認為
先往南南東後再轉東南 可能未來都是往紐西蘭的北島前進
不過這隻撐到那邊有可能已經轉化為一個溫帶氣旋了(緯度漸過20S 海溫降低)







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t02436 發表於 2014-1-17 15:35
FMS06Z命名JUNE
上望澳式C1



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f3548670 發表於 2014-1-17 15:02
贊一個!
t02436 發表於 2014-1-17 09:12
補一下
昨晚升評Medium
THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.5S
160.8E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.8S 160.2E, APPROXIMATELY 625 NM
NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY
DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH
DEEPENING CONVECTION. A 160841Z TRMM 85GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS A
BROAD LLCC WITH FORMATIVE, ALBEIT BROKEN, CONVECTIVE BANDING ALONG
THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AS MULTI-DIRECTIONAL OUTFLOW IS BEING OFFSET
BY MODERATE TO LOW (10 TO 20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES IN THE REGION ARE ALSO FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT.
DYNAMIC MODELS ARE AGGRESSIVELY DEVELOPING THIS SYSTEM AS IT DRIFTS
POLEWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB.
DUE TO THE RECENT INCREASE IN STRUCTURE AND OVERALL FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.



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