krichard2011

這若成真一定會是個藝術...
也可能會是藤原的最佳典範
GFS預測與另外一個系統互旋
然後手拉手轉圈圈 一起北上



NHC 五天的生成機率為80%
成旋的機會應該不小
Broad low pressure centered a few hundred miles south of
Zihuatanejo, Mexico, is producing a large area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. The low's circulation is gradually
becoming better defined, and environmental conditions appear
conducive for the development of a tropical depression by early next
week while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

martin191919

NHC : 40%



ZCZC MIATWOEP ALLT
TAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT FRI JUN 27 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms locatedseveral hundred miles south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, isassociated with a broad area of low pressure.  Environmentalconditions appear favorable for development during the nextseveral days, and a tropical depression is likely to form byearly next week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Brown