krichard2011 發表於 2014-6-30 22:35
昏了@@ 這居然比隔壁的道格拉斯還強 @@?
06Z就給超過TS 但現在卻仍維持擾動等級 不太對吧
這底層也很有樣子 ...

However, the system still lacks a well-defined circulation center.
NHC在評級報文表示缺乏完整閉合中心
所以沒有升格命名

個人也認為有達到升格標準
補充：
NHC速報已升格為05E 直接命名

EP, 05, 2014063012, , BEST, 0, 171N, 1034W, 45, 1003, LO, 34, NEQ, 90, 70, 40, 70, 1013, 150, 30, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, ELIDA, M, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, TRANSITIONED, epA72014 to ep052014

昏了@@ 這居然比隔壁的道格拉斯還強 @@?
06Z就給超過TS 但現在卻仍維持擾動等級 不太對吧
這底層也很有樣子了應該早升TS了吧
這底層應該也早有 TS 的樣了吧?
97E INVEST 140630 0600 16.7N 102.4W EPAC 45 1005

這隻是乎與前方的熱帶風暴發生藤原雙熱旋效應中，部份雲系遭到拉扯結構目前不太理想。

TCFA

AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 16.0N 101.6W,
APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTH OF ZIHUATANEJO, MEXICO. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FORMATIVE CONVECTIVE BANDING ALONG
THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. A RECENT 300036Z SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE
ADDITIONALLY SHOWS INCREASING DEFINITION IN THE LOW LEVEL STRUCTURE
WHILE THE BULK OF THE DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING IS CONTAINED TO THE
SOUTH. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE REGION ARE CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT AT 30 DEGREES CELSIUS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A
MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT AS OUTFLOW FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04E IS
HINDERING OUTFLOW AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15 TO 20 KNOTS) IS
MODERATE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE AT 1008MB. DUE
TO THE INCREASED CONSOLIDATION OF THE LLCC, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS HIGH.