krichard2011

這隻螺旋性一直都很不錯
最近這幾個小時
對流也有明顯爆發起來的趨勢
NHC 評級 HIGH 好像也有一段時間了...

1. A large but disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms
associated with an elongated area of low pressure is located a few
hundred miles southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.  Environmental
conditions are conducive for the gradual development of this system
into a tropical depression over the next couple of days as it moves
northwestward or northward toward the coast of Mexico.  Regardless
of whether or not a tropical cyclone forms, heavy rains will spread
across southwestern Mexico over the next few days.  These rains
could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

CX723-A330

1. Cloudiness and showers remain limited in association with a broad
area of low pressure located a couple hundred miles south of the
coasts of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico. Environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of
this system during the next several days while the low moves slowly
west-northwestward or northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Blake

NHC評Low
話說如果這92E發展成功將會命名為Trudy
而此名字在整個東太歷史中只在1990年用過，是東太少數用過的名字之一