蜜露

風眼總算開了, 看上去IR , CDO也比3小時前均衡不少了..
至少比較有規則了..強度有機會達到C3

阿拉伯附近是沙漠氣候. 乾空氣嚇人.
要增強要趕進度了. 但未來會向北. 且趨向巴基斯坦和西印度附近.

Meow

今天 06Z 的雲圖，似乎這次風眼比較穩定了。

ben811018

krichard2011

這底層結構很不錯喔
眼牆也建立得差不多了
剛剛早上也一度建立起雲捲風眼
不過最近幾個小時對流大爆發
應該是在建立CDO 順利的話 晚一點風眼應該就有機會打開了...

蜜露

今年西太滿怪的,不只8月~ 10月颱風都很少

反而現在焦點都在這隻身上了.
目前環境還好,看好發展.

底層已經建立了~

Meow

已升格氣旋風暴並命名 Nilofar，預計之後將增強到特強氣旋風暴。

The deep depression over westcentral and adjoining southwest Arabian Sea moved slightly northwards, intensified into a Cyclonic storm, ‘NILOFAR’ and lay centred at 1130 hours IST of 26th October, 2014 near latitude 14.10 N and longitude 62.00 E, about 1270 km west-southwest of Mumbai and 910 km east-southeast of Salalah (Oman). It would move initially north-northwestwards during next 48 hrs and then recurve northeastwards towards north Gujarat and adjoining Pakistan coast during subsequent 72 hrs. It would intensify further into a severe cyclonic storm during next 24 hrs.

CX723-A330

ARB02/2014/07
Dated: 26.10.2014
The depression over westcentral and adjoining southwest Arabian Sea remained practically stationary, intensified into a Deep Depression and lay centred at 0830 hours IST of 26th October, 2014 near latitude 14.00 N and longitude 62.00 E, about 1270 km west-southwest of Mumbai and 910 km east-southeast of Salalah (Oman).

IMD已將04A升格為強低氣壓
並預料在1730 IST升格為氣旋風暴

Meow

JTWC 升格 90A 為熱帶氣旋 04A，路徑圖已先行釋出，預測 TY 強度接近阿曼近海後轉向並逐漸減弱。