0908morakot

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編號　　　　：07 F ( 98 P )
擾動編號日期：2017 年 01 月 17 日 13 時
消散日期　　：2017 年 01 月 18 日 08 時
98P.INVEST.15kts-NAmb-21.1S-157.1W

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 07F CENTRE [1005HPA] WAS ANALYSED NEAR 20.1S
156.2W AT 162100UTC. POSITION POOR. TD07F SLOW MOVING. CONVECTION
REMAINS CONSISTENT BUT DISPLACED TO THE EAST OF A SUPPOSED LLCC.
ORGANISATION POOR. TD07F LIES SOUTH OF AN UPPER RIDGE IN A MODERATE
TO HIGH SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. SST AROUND 29 DEGREES CELSIUS. GLOBAL
MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND MOVE IT SOUTHEASTWARDS.

POTENTIAL FOR THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE
NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS MODERATE.