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92W 接近民答那峨

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[LV.9]以壇為家II

2017-9-22 18:34 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 霧峰追風者 於 2017-9-28 11:14 編輯

基本資料
編號    :92 W
擾動編號日期:2017 09 22 18
撤編日期  :2017 09 25 20
92W-INVEST-15kts-1004mb-6N-152E

20170922.1010.himawari-8.ir.92W.INVEST.15kts.1004mb.6N.152E.100pc.jpg

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alu
又撤編了  發表於 2017-9-25 22:23
現在強度15kts.1004hpa,發展機會是medium.  發表於 2017-9-22 23:05

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參與人數 1水氣能量 +15 收起 理由
king111807 + 15

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簽到天數: 2840 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

t02436|2017-9-24 13:37 | 顯示全部樓層
評級Low
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
4.7NN 135.5E, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTHEAST OF PALAU. AN AREA OF
CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 4.7N 135.2E,
APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTHWEST OF PALAU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 232306Z 91GHZ SSMIS IMAGE DEPICT FLARING
UNORGANIZED CONVECTION WEST OF AN IMPROVING LOW LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, THE LOW-LEVEL VORTICITY SIGNATURE IS STILL
ASYMMETRIC AND DISORGANIZED. INVEST 92W IS CURRENTLY INSIDE THE
REGION OF LOW (5-10 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND VERY WARM (30-32
CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THE SYSTEM
WILL REMAIN A WEAK CIRCULATION DRIFTING WEST TO NORTHWEST OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT
10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR
1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

abpwsair.jpg

92W_gefs_latest.png

rbtop-animated.gif

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上看30kts.1000hpa.展望low.  發表於 2017-9-24 20:47
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