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92S 中心裸露

簽到天數: 601 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

2017-9-28 04:00 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 霧峰追風者 於 2017-10-3 11:50 編輯

基本資料   
編號    :92 S
擾動編號日期:2017 09 28 01
撤編日期  :2017 10 03 11
92S-INVEST-25kts-1004mb-5.9S-62.0E

20170927.1800.msg1.x.ir1km_bw.92SINVEST.25kts-1004mb-59S-620E.100pc.jpg

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參與人數 1水氣能量 +15 收起 理由
s6815711 + 15

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簽到天數: 601 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

霧峰追風者|2017-9-28 04:05 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC 18Z評級Low
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 5.9S
62.0E, APPROXIMATELY 587 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. A
270459Z METOP-B ASCAT IMAGE DEPICTS A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS (20-25 KTS)
LOCATED ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS A
MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH WEAK, POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND MARGINAL TO
STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20-25 KTS) WHICH WILL INHIBIT
DEVELOPMENT. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORABLE AT 28-29 DEGREES
CELSIUS. GLOBAL MODELS CURRENTLY DO NOT DEVELOP THE SYSTEM BUT
MAINTAIN THE CIRCULATION WITH SOUTHWEST MOVEMENT IN LATER TAUS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

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