Meow

已升格熱帶氣旋並命名Cempaka。

EGC:2:1:24:09S111E900:11:00
THIS WARNING IS PROVIDED BY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE JAKARTA
AND ISSUED FOR THE CIRCULAR AREA OF METAREA XI (POR) BY JMA

INDONESIAN AGENCY FOR METEOROLOGY CLIMATOLOGY AND GEOPHYSICS
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre (TCWC) Jakarta

SECURITE

            OCEAN GALE AND STORM WARNING

OCEAN GALE AND STORM WARNING FOR AREA 0 - 10 S, 90 - 125 E
Issued by JAKARTA TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
At: 12:03 UTC 27 November 2017

SITUATION
At 12:00 UTC Tropical Cyclone CEMPAKA 999 hPa was within 15 nautical miles of 8,6 S 110,8 E moving northeast at 5 knots.

This tropical depression may develop into a Tropical Cyclone in the next 6-12 hours.

AREA AFFECTED
Within 20 nautical miles in NE quadrant
  and within 15 nautical miles in SE quadrant
  and within 15 nautical miles in SW quadrant
  and within 30 nautical miles in NW quadrant.

FORECAST
Clockwise winds reaching 35 knots expected to increase to 40 knots in the next 24 hours.
High seas may exceed Rough to Very Rough scale and rising swell.

00:00 UTC 28 November:  Within 45 nautical miles of 8,7 S 108,0 E
                        Central pressure 996 hPa.
                        Wind speed reaching 40 knots near centre.
12:00 UTC 28 November: Within 75 nautical miles of 8,3 S 109,1 E
                        Central pressure 996 hPa.
                        Wind speed reaching 40 knots near centre.

REMARKS
Ships please transmit 3-hourly weather reports.
Next warning will be issued by 19:00 UTC 27 November 2017.

Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre JAKARTA

霧峰追風者

稍早的底層，蠻接近陸地..

TXXS28 KNES 272235
TCSSIO
CCA

A.  TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (95S)

B.  27/1730Z

C.  8.6S

D.  111.4E

E.  THREE/HIMAWARI-8

F.  T2.5/2.5/D0.5/24HRS

G.  IR/EIR/SWIR

H.  REMARKS...CORRECTED FOR POSITION AND INTENSITY BASED ON 1811Z AMSR
MICROWAVE IMAGERY. SYSTEM IS CHARACTERIZED BY A FIVE-TENTHS BANDING
FEATURE. THIS YIELDS A DT OF 2.5. MET AND PT AGREE AT 2.5. FT IS BASED
ON DT.

I.  ADDL POSITIONS

    NIL


...GAETANO

霧峰追風者

JTWC 02Z取消TCFA，降評至MEDIUM。

WTXS21 PGTW 290200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION//
REF/A/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/280151Z NOV 17//
AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 280200)//
RMKS/
1. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 280200). THE AREA OF
CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.5N 111.0E IS NOW
LOCATED NEAR 8.8S 111.4E, APPROXIMATELY 317NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
JAKARTA, INDONESIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTS A FULLY
EXPOSED AND RAGGED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), WITH
WEAKENED CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE EAST OF THE LLCC. A 281941Z
AMSU 89GHZ MICROWAVE INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME MORE SCATTERED
AND LESS DISORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATESTHE SYSTEM HAS MOVED INTO AN AREA OF MODERATE (15-20 KNOT)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). NUMERIC WEATHER PREDICTION MODELS
INDICATE MINIMAL TO NO DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEAR-TERM, WITH POSSIBLE
REINTENSIFICATION IN A FEW DAYS AS THE LLCC TRACKS POLEWARD. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO MEDIUM.//
NNNN

霧峰追風者

BMKG 已經降格熱帶低壓。

IDJ21020
BADAN METEOROLOGI KLIMATOLOGI DAN GEOFISIKA
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre (TCWC) Jakarta

            BULETIN TEKNIS SIKLON TROPIS
            
Dikeluarkan oleh TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE JAKARTA
Pada: 06:13 UTC 29/11/2017
Digunakan hanya sebagai pertimbangan pembuatan prakiraan cuaca, tidak untuk disebarluaskan secara langsung kepada masyarakat.

System: 1
Storm ID: 95S

SIKLON TROPIS: CEMPAKA
Data pada: 29/0600 UTC
Lintang: 9,9LS
Bujur: 110,0BT
Akurasi Posisi: sekitar 30 mil (55 km)
Arah gerak: barat barat daya (255 derajat)
Kecepatan gerak: 15 knots (28 km/jam)
Arah 1: Dari Cilacap
   Pada  +0: 135 mil (250 km) selatan barat daya
   Pada +12: 135 mil (250 km) selatan tenggara
   Pada +24: 185 mil (340 km) selatan
Arah 2: Dari Semarang
   Pada  +0: 175 mil (330 km) selatan

Angin Maksimum 10-Menit: 25 knots (45 km/jam)
Gust Maksimum 3-detik: 45 knots (85 km/jam)
Tekanan dipusat siklon: 1003 hPa
Intensitas: Depression
24 jam Intensitas: Depression

DATA PRAKIRAAN
Tgl./Jam    : Posisi          :   Akurasi: Kec.Angin Max:Tekanan dipusat: Gust
(UTC)       : derajat         :  mil (km): knots(km/jam):            hPa: knots(km/jam):
+ 6: 29/1200:   9,4LS  111,3BT: 045 (085):    025  (045):           1004:    045  (085)
+12: 29/1800:   9,8LS  111,3BT: 060 (110):    020  (035):           1005:    045  (085)
+18: 30/0000:  10,3LS  111,2BT: 075 (140):    020  (035):           1005:    045  (085)
+24: 30/0600:  10,7LS  111,1BT: 090 (165):    020  (035):           1005:    045  (085)

Daerah Siaga Cuaca Buruk: Badung, Bangli, Buleleng, Gianyar, Jembrana, Karang Asem, Klungkung, Kodya Bali, Tabanan, Bantul, Gunung Kidul, Kodya Yogyakarta, Kulon Progo, Sleman, Banjarnegara, Banyumas, Batang, Blora, Boyolali, Brebes, Cilacap, Demak, Grobogan, Jepara, Karanganyar, Kebumen, Kendal, Klaten, Kodya Magelang, Kodya Pekalongan, Kodya Salatiga, Kodya Semarang, Kodya Surakarta, Kodya Tegal, Kudus, Magelang, Pati, Pekalongan, Pemalang, Purbalingga, Purworejo, Rembang, Semarang, Sragen, Sukoharjo, Tegal, Temanggung, Wonogiri, Wonosobo, Bangkalan, Banyuwangi, Blitar, Bojonegoro, Bondowoso, Gresik, Jember, Jombang, Kediri, Kodya Malang, Kodya Pasuruan, Kodya Surabaya, Lamongan, Lumajang, Madiun, Magetan, Malang, Mojokerto, Nganjuk, Ngawi, Pacitan, Pamekasan, Pasuruan, Ponorogo, Probolinggo, Sampang, Sidoarjo, Situbondo, Sumenep, Trenggalek, Tuban, Tulungagung, Lombok Barat, Lombok Tengah and Lombok Timur

KETERANGAN TEKNIS
Informasi lebih lanjut hubungi 021 6546318.

DAMPAK
Eks-Siklon tropis CEMPAKA memberikan dampak berupa :
- Hujan dengan intensitas sedang hingga lebat di Selatan Jawa Tengah ,Yogyakarta,  Jawa Timur, Bali, dan Lombok.
- Angin kencang hingga 20 knot berpotensi terjadi di wilayah selatan Jawa.
- Gelombang tinggi 1.25 - 2.5 meter di  Perairan Selatan Jawa Timur hingga Selatan NTB, Samudera Hindia Selatan Bali dan Selatan NTB.
- Gelombang tinggi 2.5 - 4 meter di Perairan Selatan Banten hingga Selatan Jawa Tengah, Samudera Hindia Selatan P.Jawa.

Tidak ada buletin lebih lanjut, kecuali sistem ini menguat kembali.

霧峰追風者

JTWC 21Z取消評級，將併入96S環流內。

  (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 11S 110.8E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.