開啟輔助訪問
 找回密碼
 立即加入

98P 南太首擾

簽到天數: 601 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

2017-12-1 22:39 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 s6815711 於 2017-12-6 21:51 編輯

  基本資料  
編號    :98 P
擾動編號日期:
2017 12 01 22
撤編日期  :2017 12 05 09
98P.INVEST.15kts.1006mb.6S.160E

20171201.1410.himawari-8.ir.98P.INVEST.15kts.1006mb.6S.160E.100pc.jpg

評分

參與人數 1水氣能量 +15 收起 理由
jwpk9899 + 15

查看全部評分

回復

使用道具 舉報

簽到天數: 601 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

霧峰追風者|2017-12-2 14:54 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC 05Z評級LOW
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 8.5S
161.9E, APPROXIMATELY 128 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON
ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND A 020455Z SSMIS 91GHZ
IMAGE DEPICTS THE MAJORITY OF THE FLARING CONVECTION DISPLACED TO
THE NORTHWEST OF THE BROAD AREA OF MIDLEVEL TURNING WITH NO DEFINED
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES
98P IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF STRONG (30-40 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR (VWS) WITH RIDGING TO THE NORTH AND WARM (29-30 CELSIUS) SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE SURROUNDING AREA. GLOBAL MODELS
INDICATE THAT 98P HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR WEAK DEVELOPMENT BEYOND TAU
36 AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SOUTH INTO A MORE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL AREA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
abpwsair (1).jpg 20171202.0620.himawari-8.ircolor.98P.INVEST.15kts.1006mb.7.8S.161E.100pc.jpg


點評

風切太強,不易發展,評級very low.  發表於 2017-12-2 14:58
回復

使用道具 舉報

簽到天數: 601 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

霧峰追風者|2017-12-4 14:35 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC 05Z取消評級
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 8.4S 157.8E, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
abpwsair (2).jpg 20171204.0550.himawari-8.ir.98P.INVEST.15kts.1010mb.12.3S.162.2E.100pc.jpg

回復

使用道具 舉報

快速回覆
您需要登錄後才可以回帖 登錄 | 立即加入

本版積分規則

霧峰追風者

    主題

    帖子

    220萬

    積分

    16級[四級颶風]

    Rank: 16Rank: 16Rank: 16Rank: 16

16級[四級颶風]

發訊息

本平台僅供學術討論之用,預報應以氣象局為準

威普網站虛擬主機贊助公司

臺灣第一個天氣類型社群平台 即時天氣資訊、精準颱風動態

線上客服
FB傳送訊息
廣告行銷
精準行銷 物超所值
官方粉專
發佈 快速回復 返回頂部 返回列表