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11S.Riley 穩定西行 二度增強

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2019-1-22 01:13 | 顯示全部樓層
  三級強烈熱帶氣旋  
編號:12 U ( 11 S )
名稱:Riley

  基本資料  
擾動編號日期:2019 01 22 00
JTWC升格日期:2019 01 24 02
命名日期  :2019 01 24 05
撤編日期  :2019 02 06 00
登陸地點  :

  巔峰時期資料  
近中心最大風速:
澳洲氣象局 ( BoM ):65 kt
聯合颱風警報中心 (JTWC):70 kts ( Cat.1 )
海平面最低氣壓:970 百帕

  過去路徑圖  
watc20190121tc_track_Riley.png
  擾動編號資料  
90S.INVEST.15kts-1010mb-10.0S-128.6E

94s invest 190122 0600 10.0s 128.6e shem 15 1010.png

以上資料來自:BoM、JTWC、颱風論壇整理製作

評分

參與人數 1水氣能量 +15 2021擾動搶樓 +1 收起 理由
king111807 + 15 + 1 熱帶擾動首帖

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jrchang5|2019-1-22 15:45 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC於01220630Z評級Low。
(2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
11.1S 127.0E, APPROXIMATELY 240 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DARWIN,
AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A
PARTIAL 220151Z GMI 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOW A BROAD AREA OF
TURNING WITH CONVECTION LOCATED PRIMARILY TO THE SOUTHWEST. THE
SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY LOCATED IN AN AREA WITH BROAD DIFFLUENCE
AND WEAK POLEWARD OUTFLOW, MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20
KNOTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-30 CELSIUS). GLOBAL
MODELS SHOW THE MOST LIKELY TRACK OF THE DISTURBANCE WILL BE
TO THE SOUTHWEST ALONG THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA WITH
GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.

abpwsair.jpg vis_lalo-animated.gif

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霧峰追風者|2019-1-22 19:11 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 霧峰追風者 於 2019-1-22 19:14 編輯

BoM 升格熱帶低壓並開始發報,有機會2天後命名。
Details of Tropical Low at 2:00 pm AWST:

Intensity: tropical low, sustained winds near the centre of 35 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 85 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 110 kilometres of 11.3 degrees South, 125.9 degrees East , 345 kilometres north northwest of Kalumburu and 490 kilometres north northeast of Kuri Bay .
Movement: southwest at 16 kilometres per hour .
IDW60280.png 94S_gefs_latest.png

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霧峰追風者|2019-1-23 04:54 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC 18Z評級提升至Medium
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
11.1S 127.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.4S 126.6E, APPROXIMATELY 470 NM
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 221327Z MHS 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOW AN
ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION LOCATED PRIMARILY TO
THE WEST. A 221327Z ASCAT PARTIAL PASS SHOWS A SLIGHTLY ELONGATED
CIRCULATION WITH 10-25 KNOT WINDS. THE DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY
LOCATED IN AN AREA OF GOOD POLEWARD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR (5-15 KNOTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-30
KNOTS). GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE A WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST TRACK OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AND SHOW INTENSIFICATION TO WARNING STATUS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
abpwsair (1).jpg 20190122.165500.aqua.modis.Vapor.tc1994SINVEST.covg100p0.modislance.res1km.jpg

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jrchang5|2019-1-23 10:03 來自手機 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 jrchang5 於 2019-1-23 10:12 編輯

BoM已編號12U。巔峰上望澳式三級熱帶氣旋。
IDW27600
TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - WESTERN REGION
Issued by DARWIN TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 0132 UTC 23/01/2019
Name: Tropical Low  
Identifier: 12U
Data At: 0000 UTC
Latitude: 13.8S
Longitude: 124.2E
Location Accuracy: within 45 nm [85 km]
Movement Towards: southwest [216 deg]
Speed of Movement: 9 knots [17 km/h]
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 25 knots [45 km/h]
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 45 knots [85 km/h]
Central Pressure: 1000 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant:   
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant:   
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant:   
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant:   
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:   
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:   
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:   
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:   
Radius of 64-knot winds:
Radius of Maximum Winds:   
Dvorak Intensity Code: T2.0/2.0/D1.0/24HRS STT0.5/06HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1004 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 120 nm [220 km]
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time    : Location    : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind   : Central Pressure
[UTC]        : degrees     :      nm  [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
+06:  23/0600: 14.3S 123.6E:     040 [080]:  025  [045]: 1002
+12:  23/1200: 14.6S 123.1E:     055 [100]:  030  [055]:  999
+18:  23/1800: 15.2S 121.9E:     065 [125]:  030  [055]: 1000
+24:  24/0000: 15.5S 121.1E:     080 [145]:  035  [065]:  997
+36:  24/1200: 15.5S 120.0E:     100 [185]:  040  [075]:  993
+48:  25/0000: 15.9S 119.4E:     120 [220]:  050  [095]:  987
+60:  25/1200: 16.8S 118.4E:     140 [255]:  055  [100]:  987
+72:  26/0000: 17.2S 117.0E:     155 [290]:  065  [120]:  984
+96:  27/0000: 18.2S 114.3E:     200 [370]:  065  [120]:  974
+120: 28/0000: 19.2S 110.6E:     290 [535]:  060  [110]:  978
REMARKS:
Position is fair, based on a TC SSMIS 2135Z image, which shows a broad circular
system with a strong convective band to the east and weaker curvature to the
southwest. Recent satellite imagery show a strong area of deep convection
obscuring the LLCC.

Dvorak initial classification [T1.0] was assigned at 00Z Tue 22 Jan. FT at 00Z
Wed 23 Jan is 2.0 based on MET. DT could not be assigned. Browse Island AWS, to
the southwest of the system, has reported sustained 15-20 kt during the last few
hours. Intensity set at 25kt. Objective aids are not yet available.

12U is positioned near the upper level ridge. Outflow is predominantly to the
south but there is a weaker outflow channel also to the north. CIMSS wind shear
at 18UTC indicated low 10-15kt wind shear over the system. 12U is surrounded by
deep moisture. SSTs are around 29C.

The forecast track is to the SW, north of and parallel to the WA coastline,
guided by a mid-level ridge over southern Australia. NWP is in good agreement
with this movement.

Intensity is based on a standard development trend for the next 24 hours, with
TC intensity forecast for 00Z Thu. An ASCAT pass at 1255 UTC last night shows a
strong 25-35 knot monsoonal surge moving through the Indonesian archipelego,
which is expected to feed into the system tonight. The combination of the surge
and dual outflow suggests intensification could be slightly faster. Beyond the
next 24 hours, wind shear is forecast to remain low through Thu allowing the
system to continue to intensity. The dominant outflow channel will be to the
west and therefore in the absence of a persistent dual outflow channel, rapid
intensification becomes less likely. Peak intensity of 65 knots is forecast from
00Z Sat 26 Jan. Upper level winds are forecast to increase over the system from
Fri, which may increase the vertical wind shear over the system. From Sun, dry
air may begins to advect around the western and northern sectors, possibly
limiting the moist inflow. The TC is forecast to begin weakening over water from
Mon 28 Jan and below TC intensity by Tue 29 Jan.

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 23/0730 UTC by Darwin TCWC.

IDW60280.png

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jrchang5|2019-1-23 15:58 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 jrchang5 於 2019-1-23 16:04 編輯

JTWC於01230730Z發布TCFA。
WTXS22 PGTW 230730
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
REF/A/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/222230Z JAN 19//
AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 222230)//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
160 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.1S 124.0E TO 16.9S 118.5E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS
IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT
230700Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.7S
123.7E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 11.4S 126.6E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.7S 123.7E, APPROXIMATELY
210 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 230508Z AMSR2 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOW
CURVED BANDING WRAPPING INTO A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION.
THE DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED IN AN AREA OF STRONG RADIAL
OUTFLOW, LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KNOTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES (28-30 CELSIUS). GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE A GENERALLY
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK WITH STEADY INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
240730Z.
4. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 222230) FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE
FORMATION ALERT LOCATED NEAR 20.5S 40.5E.//
NNNN
sh9419.gif vis_lalo-animated.gif



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霧峰追風者|2019-1-24 06:09 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 霧峰追風者 於 2019-1-24 06:14 編輯

JTWC 18Z率先升格熱帶氣旋11S,巔峰暫時上望85kts。
WTXS31 PGTW 232100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (ELEVEN) WARNING NR 001//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (ELEVEN) WARNING NR 001   
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   231800Z --- NEAR 16.5S 122.1E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
     SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 16.5S 122.1E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   240600Z --- 17.1S 120.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   241800Z --- 17.4S 118.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   250600Z --- 17.5S 118.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   251800Z --- 17.7S 117.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   261800Z --- 18.1S 114.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
    ---
   96 HRS, VALID AT:
   271800Z --- 18.4S 111.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   120 HRS, VALID AT:
   281800Z --- 18.8S 108.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
232100Z POSITION NEAR 16.7S 121.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 11S (ELEVEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 84 NM
NORTH OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS
(KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS CONSOLIDATED, THERE IS DEEP CONVECTION
OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), AND A SIGNIFICANT RAIN
BAND EXTENDS ABOUT 150 NM TO THE WEST OF THE LLCC. THE INITIAL
POSITION IS PLACED WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE USING A 231833Z SSMI 85 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGE WHICH SHOWS RAIN BANDS WRAPPING IN FROM THE NORTH
AND SOUTH. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 35 KTS IS CONSISTENT WITH MULTI-
AGENCY DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T2.5 (35 KTS). THE
ENVIRONMENT IS VERY FAVORABLE WITH GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW,
EXCELLENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW, LOW (5-10 KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS),
AND WARM (30-31 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE. TC 11S IS TRACKING
ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR), ANCHORED
OVER SOUTHERN AUSTRALIA. THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST, THE STR WILL BUILD
AND TC 11S WILL CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN
PERIPHERY. THE VERY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT IS EXPECTED TO ALLOW TC
11S TO INTENSIFY FAIRLY RAPIDLY TO 60 KTS BY TAU 36 AND MORE SLOWLY
AFTERWARD AS THE ENVIRONMENT BECOMES LESS FAVORABLE. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS ON THE HIGH END OF THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE AS SEVERAL
MODELS PREDICT THE CYCLONE INTENSITY WILL TAPER OFF AROUND TAU 48-
72. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF NAVGEM, DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE HAS GOOD
CROSS-TRACK AGREEMENT WITH THE JTWC FORECAST, HOWEVER, ALONG-TRACK
SPREAD IS FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT DUE TO DIFFERENCES IN THE STR STRENGTH
AMONG THE MODELS. THE SOUTHERN OUTLIER, NAVGEM, DEVELOPS A MID-
LATITUDE TROUGH THAT CREATES A BREAK IN THE STR THAT ALLOWS THE TC
TO TURN SHARPLY SOUTHWARD, TOWARDS LEARMONTH. BASED ON THE NAVGEM
OUTLIER AND HIGH ALONG-TRACK SPREAD AMONG THE OTHER MODELS, THERE IS
LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 231800Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z, 240900Z,
241500Z AND 242100Z.//
NNNN
sh1119.gif 11S_231800sair.jpg rbtop-animated.gif
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霧峰追風者|2019-1-24 06:16 | 顯示全部樓層
BoM 命名"Riley",巔峰上望澳式C3。
IDW60280 (1).png

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