老農民版夜神月

  基本資料  
編號　　　　：95 B
擾動編號日期：2019 年 08 月 06 日 01 時
撤編日期　　：2019 年 08 月 08 日 13 時
95B INVEST 190805 1200 20.0N 90.0E IO 15 0

老農民版夜神月

JTWC06/1800Z報中評級Medium

ABIO10 PGTW 061800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
OCEAN/061800Z-071800ZAUG2019//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95B) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
20.4N 88.1E, APPROXIMATELY 219 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CHITTAGONG,
BANGLADESH. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A
PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH SHEARED
CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHWEST. A 061226Z WINDSAT 37GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGE DEPICTS FORMATIVE LOW LEVEL BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE LLCC. A
061459Z METOP-C ASCAT PASS DEPICTS A DEFINED LLCC WITH 25-30 KT
WINDS TO THE EAST, BUT WEAKER WINDS TO THE NORTH AND WEST NEAR THE
COAST. 95B IS CURRENTLY IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH WARM (28-30
CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OFFSET BY LIMITED SOUTHWESTWARD
OUTLFOW AND MODERATE TO HIGH (20-25 KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL
MODELS MAINTAIN 95B WILL TRACK NORTHWEST THEN DISSIPATE OVER LAND
IN THE NEXT 18 TO 36 HOURS, WITH A VERY LIMITED WINDOW FOR
DEVELOPMENT IN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BEFORE MAKING
LANDFALL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 993 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS MEDIUM.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN

老農民版夜神月

95B昨日已登陸,JTWC亦於07/18Z報中撤評

ABIO10 PGTW 071800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
/OCEAN/071800Z-081800ZAUG2019//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 20.4N 88.1E, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN