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2102 舒力基 西太年度首強颱及C5 罕見西太四月風王

簽到天數: 1650 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2021-4-11 04:22 | 顯示全部樓層
EC徹底跟上GFS的腳步,上望906百帕
0A40C950BE54452AEB5AD12902F87709.jpg ecmwf_mslp_uv850_wpac_11.png
wpac (4).png eastasia (5).png
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簽到天數: 483 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

dom|2021-4-11 10:42 | 顯示全部樓層
JMA升格LPA
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 04N 143E ALMOST STATIONARY.
104017gv64d4u4fvzztsci.png 104018yoqz6688xr8jqzjr.jpeg



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簽到天數: 483 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

dom|2021-4-11 15:55 來自手機 | 顯示全部樓層
路徑漸有暝目, 模式預測94W擊潰副高後於菲律賓以東海域北上, 而且強度可觀
BEC10CCC-73BD-4312-83A3-831030C7B265.gif 4D50DA6D-4108-49F7-B5B4-0D85B02CBBC1.gif B3152726-1748-4D2A-B612-799A56DF4AF8.png
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簽到天數: 483 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

dom|2021-4-11 15:56 | 顯示全部樓層
JMA新報預測一天後增強為TD 66C8E094-CB7A-4883-8B55-DEC69ED9641B.png

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簽到天數: 1650 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2021-4-11 21:21 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC將定強調升至20節,稍晚有機會調升評級甚至直接發TCFA
94W INVEST 210411 1200 4.8N 144.0E WPAC 20 1007

20210411.1250.himawari-8.ir.94W.INVEST.20kts.1006mb.4.8N.144E.100pc.jpg 20210411.0911.f17.91pct91h91v.94W.INVEST.15kts.1005mb.5.7N.144.4E.075pc.jpg
LATEST - 2021-04-11T211834.024.jpg 6BDA267DB1A7335F249AECC962EF2490.jpg
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簽到天數: 483 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

dom|2021-4-11 21:55 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC評級提升至Medium
     (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 4.4N 144.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.8N 144.0E, APPROXIMATELY 516
NM SOUTH OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
REVEALS SYMMETRICAL FLARING CONVECTION NEAR THE ASSESSED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION (LLC). A PARTIAL 111048Z ASCAT-A PASS DEPICTS THE
EASTERN SIDE OF AN ELONGATED LLC WITH 15-20 KT WINDS PRESENT TO THE
NORTH AND SOUTH OF THE LLC. INVEST 94W IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT
FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT WITH ROBUST WESTWARD AND EQUATORWARD
OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW (5-10 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (29-30C)
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT
THE CIRCULATION IN ASSOCIATION WITH INVEST 94W WILL CONTINUE TO
CONSOLIDATE AND INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS TO THE NORTHWEST OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18
TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
6A04F640-8655-4105-B2A9-947262426B52.jpeg
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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2021-4-12 05:16 | 顯示全部樓層
EC12Z系集
wpac.png eastasia.png
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[LV.9]以壇為家II

dom|2021-4-12 17:03 | 顯示全部樓層
JMA09Z升格TD
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 05N 143E WNW SLOWLY.
5A665303-1720-43A5-B981-D15717D6BF4D.jpeg
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