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95L

簽到天數: 479 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

2021-6-24 20:55 | 顯示全部樓層
   基本資料  
編號               :95 L
擾動編號日期 :2021 06 24 20
撤編日期        :2021 07 02 00
95L.INVEST.15kts.1010mb.8.2N.9.2W
E6B47754-F746-4B66-983D-2A56A23AF66C.jpeg
NHC:20%
2. A strong tropical wave has emerged just off the coast of Africa this
morning.  Although ocean temperatures are still relatively cool over
the tropical Atlantic Ocean and are only marginally conducive for
development, a small tropical depression could form by early next
week while this system moves westward to west-northwestward at about
15 mph across the tropical eastern and central Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Papin/Cangialosi

C8DB1FA3-2EE6-449E-8BEB-EC54A5BA87CF.png


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參與人數 1水氣能量 +15 2021擾動搶樓 +1 收起 理由
king111807 + 15 + 1 熱帶擾動首帖

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簽到天數: 1435 天

[LV.10]以壇為家III

老農民版夜神月|2021-6-26 06:23 | 顯示全部樓層
NHC展望略微下調至10%/20%
1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the far eastern Atlantic
are associated with a strong tropical wave.  Development, if any, of
this system should be slow to occur during the next several days due
to marginally conducive environmental conditions.  This wave is
expected to move westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph
across the tropical eastern and central Atlantic through the middle
of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
two_atl_2d1 (7).png two_atl_5d1 (7).png
95L_gefs_latest.png
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[LV.10]以壇為家III

老農民版夜神月|2021-6-27 23:27 | 顯示全部樓層
NHC展望再度些微被提升至20%/30%
1. An area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave located over
the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean more than 600 miles southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a small area of showers and
thunderstorms.  Some slow development of this system is possible
through the middle of the week while it moves a little faster
toward the west and then west-northwest at about 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
two_atl_2d1 (9).png two_atl_5d1 (9).png
95L_tracks_latest.png 95L_gefs_latest (1).png
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[LV.10]以壇為家III

老農民版夜神月|2021-7-1 03:35 | 顯示全部樓層
NHC展望降至0%
2. Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a tropical
wave located over the Lesser Antilles.  This system has become less
organized since yesterday, and significant development is no longer
expected while it moves quickly westward across the Caribbean Sea.  
The wave should continue to produce locally heavy rains over
portions of the Lesser Antilles through tonight.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.
two_atl_2d2 (3).png two_atl_5d2 (3).png
95L_gefs_latest (2).png
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[LV.10]以壇為家III

老農民版夜神月|2021-7-1 15:59 | 顯示全部樓層
NHC於展望中已不再提及此系統
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Jul 1 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
designated Tropical Depression Five, located a little less than a
thousand miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Five are issued under WMO
header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5.  
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Five are issued
under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5.

$$
Forecaster Berg
NNNN
two_atl_2d0 (1).png two_atl_5d0.png
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