老農民版夜神月

  基本資料  
編號               ：93 L
擾動編號日期 ：2021 年 10 月 10 日 23 時
撤編日期        ：2021 年 10 月 12 日 20 時
93L.INVEST.30kts.1010mb.10.6N.50W

老農民版夜神月

NHC18Z開始對其發布展望

2. Recent satellite-derived surface wind data indicate that a vigorous
tropical wave located about 500 miles east-southeast of the Windward
Islands is producing a concentrated area of cloudiness and
thunderstorms near the wave axis. Environmental conditions are
forecast to be marginally conducive for some additional development
of this system while it moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph
over the next few days. The disturbance is expected to approach the
central and northern Lesser Antilles by late Monday and early
Tuesday, and interests in these areas should monitor the progress of
this system.  Regardless of development, the system will produce
locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds across portions of the
central and northern Lesser Antilles on Tuesday, and across the
Virgin Islands and northern Lesser Antilles on Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

king111807

NHC展望降至10%

1. Satellite-derived wind data indicate that the tropical wave,
located a little over 150 miles east of the Windward Islands, has
become less defined overnight. While this system continues to
produce showers and thunderstorms primarily east of its center,
strong upper-level winds will likely prevent further development
during the next couple of days.  Regardless of development, the
system could produce locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds across
portions of the central and northern Lesser Antilles today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

king111807

NHC展望降至0%

1. A tropical wave located near the Windward Islands has continued to
become less organized this morning and development of the system is
not expected. Locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds will be
possible across portions of the central and northern Lesser
Antilles today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.