簽到天數: 3260 天 [LV.Master]伴壇終老
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king111807|2025-9-10 19:13
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JTWC評級Low
THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
25.6N 66.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 65.1E, APPROXIMATELY 106 NM WEST
OF KARACHI, INDIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
(MSI) DEPICTS A POORLY ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH
FRAGMENTED BANDING AND FLARING CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS
INDICATES MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KTS), WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (27-28
C), AND WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND
ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 97A WILL CONTINUE ON A
WESTWARD TRACK WITH LITTLE TO NO FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS
REMAINS LOW. 
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