【東太】93E TCFA 取消逐漸併入鋒面！

myself · 2012-6-9 22:53

本帖最後由 jwpk9899 於 2012-6-11 22:02 編輯

好久沒搶到擾動了，
這擾動應該可以發展，不過可能發展時間有限

jwpk9899 · 2012-6-10 09:24

發展得不錯 MEDIUM
1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO SLOWLY BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED
IN ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 600
MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...
30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

frintezza · 2012-6-10 20:05

真快, 已經TCFA了, 未來48小時TC形成機率約60%

jwpk9899 · 2012-6-11 22:02

Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert WTPN21 Cancelled
Issued at 11/1300Z
WTPN21 PHNC 111300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION//
REF/A/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110851Z JUN 12//
AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 110900)//
RMKS/
1. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.6N
110.8W HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ANIMATED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 111102Z SSMI IMAGE INDICATE
SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) OVER
THE PAST 12 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN INCREASINGLY
UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. THIS CANCELS REF A.//
NNNN
悲劇了 93E快要被他旁邊的鋒面氣旋吞掉了準備跟他Say Good Bye~