t02436

  基本資料  
    編號　　　　：95 E
    擾動編號日期：2014 年 06 月 21 日 02  時
　消散日期　　：2014 年 06 月 24 日 20  時
　登陸地點　　：無

95E.INVEST-20kts-1001mb-10N-110W

t02436

果然一編號就馬上評級…
評級Low

Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased in association with
a broad area of low pressure located about 750 miles south-southwest
of Manzanillo, Mexico.  However, upper-level winds are expected to
become less favorable for development during the next couple of days
while the system begins to move northward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

整體來說螺旋性不錯

t02436

補一下
稍早八點升Medium

Shower and thunderstorm activity has continued to increase and
become better organized in association with a nearly stationary
low pressure system located about 725 miles south-southwest of
Manzanillo, Mexico.  Although upper-level winds are favorable,
proximity to dry air in the northwestern portion of the low could
inhibit significant development of this disturbance. Upper-level
winds are expected to become less conducive on Sunday for tropical
cyclone formation to occur while the system moves northward at 5 to
10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

目前對流有待整合
數值也看好發展

7369zy

t02436 發表於 2014-6-21 02:11
果然一編號就馬上評級…
評級Low

讚 :)