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98E Low 環境不佳對流切離

簽到天數: 815 天

[LV.10]以壇為家III

2014-7-7 08:23 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 krichard2011 於 2014-8-25 21:54 編輯

  基本資料  
    編號    :98 E

    擾動編號日期2014 07 07 08  時
 消散日期  :2014 071120  
 登陸地點  :


98E.INVEST.25kts-NAmb-9.0N-102.0W


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參與人數 3水氣能量 +48 收起 理由
Jimmy + 18 贊一個!
t02436 + 15
krichard2011 + 15 贊一個!

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簽到天數: 815 天

[LV.10]以壇為家III

martin191919|2014-7-7 08:56 | 顯示全部樓層
NHC : 20%

Tropical Weather Outlook Text

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SUN JUL 6 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A broad area of low pressure has formed several hundred miles
south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico. Gradual development of this
system is possible during the next couple of days as it moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

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簽到天數: 815 天

[LV.10]以壇為家III

martin191919|2014-7-7 14:46 | 顯示全部樓層
NHC : 30%

Tropical Weather Outlook Text

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SUN JUL 6 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A broad low pressure system located several hundred miles
south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, is producing a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of
this system is possible during the next couple of days while it
moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

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簽到天數: 588 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

Meow|2014-7-10 05:16 | 顯示全部樓層
剛剛 98E 又復活了,沒另編新編號。

只有 20% 機會發展。
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[LV.10]以壇為家III

martin191919|2014-7-10 13:54 | 顯示全部樓層
NHC : 20%

1. Cloudiness and showers associated with a broad area of low pressure
located about 650 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California Peninsula have changed little in organization. This
system still has some potential for development during the next 12
to 24 hours before the environment becomes unfavorable for tropical
cyclone formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

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點評

西側似乎有垂直風切在影響中,至於會怎樣要看當時大氣變化如何了。  發表於 2014-7-10 21:52
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簽到天數: 815 天

[LV.10]以壇為家III

martin191919|2014-7-11 09:45 | 顯示全部樓層
NHC : 10%

1. Cloudiness and showers associated with a broad area of low pressure
located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California Peninsula are disorganized. Unfavorable upper-level
winds have become established over the system and tropical cyclone
formation is not anticipated.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.


另外,98E身處一個較高風切的地區,暫時不太看好其發展

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簽到天數: 815 天

[LV.10]以壇為家III

martin191919|2014-7-11 15:09 | 顯示全部樓層
NHC : 0%

1. Cloudiness and showers associated with a broad area of low
pressure located several hundred miles west-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula have diminished.
Unfavorable upper-level winds prevail over the system and tropical
cyclone formation is no longer forecast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

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