開啟輔助訪問
 找回密碼
 立即加入

94C 環境不佳對流消散

簽到天數: 734 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

2014-8-13 20:26 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 t02436 於 2014-8-20 07:57 編輯

基本資料
編號    :90 E → 94 C
擾動編號日期:2014 08 13 20
消散日期  :
2014 08 20 07

登陸地點  :


90E.INVEST-20kts-1009mb-10.8N-137.7W

本帖子中包含更多資源

您需要 登錄 才可以下載或查看,沒有賬號?立即加入

x

點評

還有記得開帖要有定位資料ˇˇ  發表於 2014-8-13 20:31
圖片記得上傳NRL或FNMOC的唷~  發表於 2014-8-13 20:28

評分

參與人數 1水氣能量 +15 收起 理由
t02436 + 15 贊一個!

查看全部評分

回復

使用道具 舉報

簽到天數: 734 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

CX723-A330|2014-8-13 20:28 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 CX723-A330 於 2014-8-13 20:51 編輯


1. Satellite data and surface observations indicate that the area of
low pressure located about 1300 miles east-southeast of the Big
Island of Hawaii is gradually becoming better defined. Shower and
thunderstorm activity has also become a little better organized, and
environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for
development over the next several days when the system enters the
Central Pacific Hurricane Center's area of responsibility.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

NHC 評 medium


本帖子中包含更多資源

您需要 登錄 才可以下載或查看,沒有賬號?立即加入

x
回復

使用道具 舉報

簽到天數: 3279 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

t02436|2014-8-14 20:41 | 顯示全部樓層
12Z進入中太
EP, 90, 2014081412,   , BEST,   0, 124N, 1403W,  25, 1007, LO,  34, NEQ,    0,    0,    0,    0, 1010,  150,  50,   0,   0,   E,   0,    ,  

對流相當鬆散
可是NHC/CPHC都提升至High

1. Satellite-derived wind data indicate that the area of low pressure
located about 1150 miles east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii
has become better defined overnight.  Although shower and
thunderstorm activity has changed little during the past several
hours, gradual development of this disturbance is expected during
the next few days and a tropical depression could form by late
Friday or Saturday. This system is moving slowly west-northwestward
and is currently crossing 140W longitude, and it will move into
the central Pacific basin later this morning. The future discussions
on this disturbance will be provided in Tropical Weather Outlooks
issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu, Hawaii.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.






本帖子中包含更多資源

您需要 登錄 才可以下載或查看,沒有賬號?立即加入

x
回復

使用道具 舉報

簽到天數: 241 天

[LV.8]以壇為家I

krichard2011|2014-8-17 13:07 | 顯示全部樓層
NHC 維持HIGH
JTWC於今天清晨發佈TCFA不過相較於之前
現在的對流似乎有點稍嫌貧弱 有待加強 = =






本帖子中包含更多資源

您需要 登錄 才可以下載或查看,沒有賬號?立即加入

x

點評

說著說著. 8月還沒有颱風在西太誕生(靠著金娜薇跨越. 還有之前7月底留下的哈隆 娜克莉)  發表於 2014-8-18 01:23
回復

使用道具 舉報

簽到天數: 3279 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

t02436|2014-8-18 09:50 | 顯示全部樓層
CPHC降到Medium
JTWC取消TCFA
1. A low pressure center about 900 miles east-southeast Hilo, Hawaii, was nearly stationary. Isolated thunderstorms near this system remain disorganized. Environmental conditions may support development of a tropical cyclone during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours, medium, 40 percent.



前方乾區乾的有點可怕....對流看來都快被蒸乾了






本帖子中包含更多資源

您需要 登錄 才可以下載或查看,沒有賬號?立即加入

x

點評

強風切也是造成它如此頹廢的原因  發表於 2014-8-18 12:22
回復

使用道具 舉報

快速回覆
您需要登錄後才可以回帖 登錄 | 立即加入

本版積分規則

CX723-A330

    主題

    帖子

    29萬

    積分

    11級[狂風Violent storm]

    Rank: 11Rank: 11Rank: 11Rank: 11

11級[狂風Violent storm]

發訊息

本平台僅供學術討論之用,預報應以氣象局為準

威普網站虛擬主機贊助公司

臺灣第一個天氣類型社群平台 即時天氣資訊、精準颱風動態

線上客服
FB傳送訊息
廣告行銷
精準行銷 物超所值
官方粉專
發佈 快速回復 返回頂部 返回列表