98L 近岸發展不佳對流消長

shadow16 · 2014-8-27 19:53

本帖最後由 t02436 於 2014-8-29 08:34 編輯

基本資料
編號　　　　：98 L
擾動編號日期：2014 年 08 月 27 日 19 時
　消散日期　　：2014 年 08 月 29 日 05 時
　登陸地點　　：無

98L.INVEST-20kts-988mb-27.7N-94.7W

shadow16 · 2014-8-27 20:10

NHC 20%

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

Corrected to include mention of possible aircraft reconnaissance
mission for system in the Gulf of Mexico.

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Cristobal, located several hundred miles west of Bermuda.

1. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a weak low
pressure area located over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico has
increased during the past few hours. Some additional development is
possible before the system moves inland over southern Texas and
northern Mexico on Thursday. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter
aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system later today, if
necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

shadow16 · 2014-8-28 13:52

已經接近陸地了
會發展的機會應該不大了

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Cristobal, located several hundred miles west of Bermuda.

1. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a weak area of low
pressure over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico is currently limited.
However, some development of this system is still possible before it
moves inland over south Texas and northern Mexico on Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.