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krichard2011|2023-4-9 08:42
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顯示全部樓層
JTWC 對這個系統的前景非常看好
第一報直接上看 C5 140KT
- WTXS31 PGTW 082100
- MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
- SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (EIGHTEEN) WARNING NR 001//
- REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071952ZAPR2023//
- AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT./
- RMKS/
- 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (EIGHTEEN) WARNING NR 001
- 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
- MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
- WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
- ---
- WARNING POSITION:
- 081800Z --- NEAR 11.3S 128.2E
- MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
- POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
- POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
- SATELLITE, SYNOPTIC DATA AND EXTRAPOLATION
- PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
- MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
- WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
- RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
- 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
- 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
- 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
- REPEAT POSIT: 11.3S 128.2E
- ---
- FORECASTS:
- 12 HRS, VALID AT:
- 090600Z --- 12.1S 126.9E
- MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
- WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
- RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
- 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
- 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
- 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
- VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS
- ---
- 24 HRS, VALID AT:
- 091800Z --- 12.7S 125.3E
- MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
- WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
- RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
- 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
- 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
- 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
- VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS
- ---
- 36 HRS, VALID AT:
- 100600Z --- 13.4S 123.8E
- MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
- WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
- RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
- 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
- 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
- 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
- RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
- 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
- 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
- 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
- VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 08 KTS
- ---
- EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
- 48 HRS, VALID AT:
- 101800Z --- 14.4S 122.4E
- MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
- WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
- RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
- 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
- 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
- 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
- RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
- 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
- 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
- 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
- RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
- 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
- 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
- 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
- VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 07 KTS
- ---
- 72 HRS, VALID AT:
- 111800Z --- 16.1S 119.9E
- MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
- WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
- RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
- 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
- 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
- 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
- RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
- 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
- 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
- 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
- RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
- 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
- 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
- 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
- VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS
- ---
- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
- ---
- 96 HRS, VALID AT:
- 121800Z --- 18.3S 118.9E
- MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
- WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
- RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
- 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
- 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
- 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
- RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
- 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
- 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
- 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
- RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
- 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
- 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
- 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
- VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 10 KTS
- ---
- 120 HRS, VALID AT:
- 131800Z --- 21.8S 121.3E
- MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
- ---
- REMARKS:
- 082100Z POSITION NEAR 11.5S 127.9E.
- 08APR23. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (EIGHTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
- 174 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-
- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
- SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
- 090300Z, 090900Z, 091500Z AND 092100Z.
- 2. THIS CANCELS AND SUPERSEDES REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 072000).//
- NNNN
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