簽到天數: 2110 天 [LV.Master]伴壇終老
|
周子堯@FB|2018-8-15 17:57
|
顯示全部樓層
JTWC 05Z評級Low
(2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
12.7N 167.2E, APPROXIMATELY 1315 NM EAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM.
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD AREA OF
PERSISTENT CONVECTION. A 142243Z MHS 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SUGGESTS
THERE MAY BE AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH PERSISTENT
CONVECTION OVER THE CENTER. THE DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED IN
AN AREA OF EXCELLENT UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW (5-15 KNOTS) VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR, AND VERY WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-31 CELSIUS).
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THE SYSTEM WILL TRACK TO THE
WEST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH INTENSIFICATION TO WARNING
CRITERIA LIKELY AFTER TAU 36. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
|
|