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krichard2011|2014-3-30 14:56
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本帖最後由 krichard2011 於 2014-3-30 15:42 編輯
下午這報MFR升 ITC 強烈熱帶氣旋
補上報文
WTIO30 FMEE 300718
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
0.A WARNING NUMBER: 10/14/20132014
1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (HELLEN)
2.A POSITION 2014/03/30 AT 0600 UTC:
WITHIN 10 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.4 S / 44.3 E
(FOURTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST)
MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 4 KT
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: 6.0/6.0/D 3.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 948 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 105 KT
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) :19 KM
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 170 SE: 150 SW: 130 NW: 110
34 KT NE: 90 SE: 70 SW: 70 NW: 80
48 KT NE: 50 SE: 50 SW: 50 NW: 50
64 KT NE: 40 SE: 40 SW: 40 NW: 40
7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2014/03/30 18 UTC: 14.8 S / 44.7 E, MAX WIND=105 KT, INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE
24H: 2014/03/31 06 UTC: 15.1 S / 44.9 E, MAX WIND=085 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE
36H: 2014/03/31 18 UTC: 15.4 S / 44.8 E, MAX WIND=060 KT, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM
48H: 2014/04/01 06 UTC: 15.7 S / 44.1 E, MAX WIND=050 KT, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM
60H: 2014/04/01 18 UTC: 16.1 S / 43.1 E, MAX WIND=040 KT, MODERATE TROPICAL STORM
72H: 2014/04/02 06 UTC: 16.6 S / 41.8 E, MAX WIND=035 KT, MODERATE TROPICAL STORM
2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK :
96H: 2014/04/03 06 UTC: 17.1 S / 40.3 E, MAX WIND=035 KT, MODERATE TROPICAL STORM
120H: 2014/04/04 06 UTC: 17.1 S / 37.8 E, MAX WIND=020 KT, INLAND
2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=6.0+
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