t02436

MFR12Z編號擾動區第2號，預測48小時之內命名。

** WTIO20 FMEE 081201 ***
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER/LA REUNION 08/12/2015
AT
1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 001/2 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND)
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCAL (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 08/12/2015 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: DISTURBANCE 2  1004 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.2 S / 73.8 E
(ELEVEN    DECIMAL TWO   DEGREES SOUTH AND
SEVENTY THREE    DECIMAL EIGHT   DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 15 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM FROM THE CENTER MAINLY WITHIN
THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25 KT AND MODERATE SEAS REACHING LOCALLY
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS WITH ROUGH SEAS IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN QUADRANT
AND RATHER FAR AWAY FROM THE CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2015/12/09 AT 00 UTC:
12.2 S / 72.1 E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROPICAL DISTURBANCE
24H, VALID 2015/12/09 AT 12 UTC:
13.6 S / 71.0 E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROPICAL DEPRESSION

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE CURRENT INTENSITY OF THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT JUSTIFY THE ISSUANCE OF
REGULAR WARNINGS.=