01S 裸奔直趨馬達加斯加

jwpk9899 · 2013-10-27 20:58

好了基本上呢可能要逐漸地跟他說再見囉
MFR最新一報認為他減弱囉

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER: 8/1/20132014
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1

2.A POSITION 2013/10/27 AT 1200 UTC:
WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8 S / 63.1 E
(TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL
ONE DEGREES EAST)
MOVEMENT : WEST 10 KT

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: 1.5/2.0/S 0.0/6 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 1004 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 25 KT
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) :NIL

6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: SE: SW: 190 NW:

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SHALLOW

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2013/10/28 00 UTC: 12.9 S / 61.3 E, MAX WIND=025 KT, LOW
24H: 2013/10/28 12 UTC: 13.0 S / 59.3 E, MAX WIND=025 KT, LOW
36H: 2013/10/29 00 UTC: 13.0 S / 57.3 E, MAX WIND=020 KT, LOW
48H: 2013/10/29 12 UTC: 12.6 S / 54.5 E, MAX WIND=015 KT, DISSIPATING
60H: 2013/10/30 00 UTC: 12.5 S / 52.2 E, MAX WIND=015 KT, DISSIPATING