ABPW10 PGTW 300600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/300600Z-310600ZMAR2014//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.1N 164.0E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
//NNNN
AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 7.7N 160.5E,
APPROXIMATELY 145 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD, POORLY-DEFINED LOW-
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION.
RECENT ASCAT IMAGERY SUPPORTS AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH 10 TO 15
KNOT WINDS. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM POHNPEI SHOW 05 TO 10 KNOT
EASTERLY WINDS WITH SLP NEAR 1007 MB. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES
A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE (10 TO 20 KNOTS)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. DYNAMIC MODELS
INDICATE SLOW DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS AS THE DISTURBANCE
TRACKS WESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10
TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
照妖鏡
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