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15E.Odile 貫穿下加利福尼亞半島 進入美國

簽到天數: 588 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

Meow|2014-9-15 15:12 | 顯示全部樓層
這才是真正的追風,敢承擔切身之痛的龐大風險,而不是只把風球掛嘴邊。

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[LV.8]以壇為家I

krichard2011|2014-9-15 18:59 | 顯示全部樓層
來一張MODIS-Terra 的高畫質影像
可惜巔峰是在夜間 這張已有雙眼牆情形...
不過風眼仍相當清晰
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簽到天數: 588 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

Meow|2014-9-15 19:26 | 顯示全部樓層
NHC 證實 Odile 和 1967 年的 Olivia 以 110 節並列為登陸南下加利福尼亞州風速最強的颶風。預計將經過大半個下加利福尼亞半島,因此 Odile 也將快速減弱,儘管稍早的評價還是 MH。



000
WTPZ45 KNHC 150854
TCDEP5

HURRICANE ODILE DISCUSSION NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
200 AM PDT MON SEP 15 2014

Satellite data showed that Odile made landfall near Cabo San Lucas
around 0445 UTC.  The estimated intensity of 110 kt at landfall
ties Odile with Olivia (1967) as the strongest hurricane to make
landfall in the satellite era in the state of Baja California Sur.
Since landfall, the eye of Odile has filled in conventional
satellite imagery, but the inner-core convection remains strong and
very symmetric.  The initial wind speed has been reduced to 100 kt
for this advisory. The hurricane should steadily weaken during
the next few days while the circulation and inner-core continue to
interact with the Baja California peninsula.  The latest NHC
forecast is close to the intensity consensus, and is lower than
the previous NHC advisory.

Odile is moving north-northwestward at 14 kt.  The cyclone is
forecast to move northwestward to north-northwestward around the
western portion of a mid-level ridge over the southern United
States during the next couple of days.  The forward speed of Odile
should slow down as the cyclone weakens and becomes a more shallow
system.  In a few days, the low-level circulation is forecast to
turn northward, then northeastward, and dissipate over northern
Mexico or the northern portion of the Gulf of California in 4 to 5
days. The NHC track forecast lies between the latest GFS and
ECMWF models.

Since strong winds and heavy rainfall extend well away from the
center of Odile, users should not focus on the exact forecast track.
Moisture from a disturbance over northeastern Mexico and the
Pacific ITCZ is forecast to be advected by Odile's circulation
northwestward across Mexico into the southwestern United States
during the next several days.  This could result in heavy rains and
life-threatening flash flooding in those areas.  Please see
information from your local weather office for more details.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  15/0900Z 23.7N 110.4W  100 KT 115 MPH...INLAND
12H  15/1800Z 25.1N 111.7W   85 KT 100 MPH...INLAND
24H  16/0600Z 26.7N 112.8W   70 KT  80 MPH...INLAND
36H  16/1800Z 28.0N 113.7W   55 KT  65 MPH...INLAND
48H  17/0600Z 29.0N 114.1W   40 KT  45 MPH...INLAND
72H  18/0600Z 30.0N 113.7W   30 KT  35 MPH...OVER WATER
96H  19/0600Z 30.7N 113.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H  20/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Brown

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簽到天數: 588 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

Meow|2014-9-15 19:54 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 Meow 於 2014-9-15 19:56 編輯

這是 Odile 巔峰之後不久的 Terra 照片正式版本,可下載原圖

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評分

參與人數 1水氣能量 +80 收起 理由
ben811018 + 80 漂亮!!

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[LV.6]常住居民II

BlankCat|2014-9-15 21:25 | 顯示全部樓層
巧合的是, 西半球和東半球都在為「15號氣旋」煩惱...
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簽到天數: 588 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

Meow|2014-9-15 23:48 | 顯示全部樓層
很喜歡走陸地,所以減弱到二級颶風下限了,不過結構仍不錯。







FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  15/1500Z 24.7N 111.3W   85 KT 100 MPH
12H  16/0000Z 26.0N 112.3W   70 KT  80 MPH...INLAND
24H  16/1200Z 27.5N 113.3W   55 KT  65 MPH...INLAND
36H  17/0000Z 28.6N 114.0W   40 KT  45 MPH...INLAND
48H  17/1200Z 29.6N 114.0W   30 KT  35 MPH...INLAND
72H  18/1200Z 30.5N 113.4W   25 KT  30 MPH...OVER WATER
96H  19/1200Z 31.0N 112.9W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H  20/1200Z...DISSIPATED

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簽到天數: 588 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

Meow|2014-9-16 02:24 | 顯示全部樓層
即時消息:Odile 已減弱為一級颶風,最大風速 80 節、中心氣壓 965 百帕。墨西哥南下加利福尼亞州首府拉巴斯(La Paz)累計雨量已達到 146 毫米。



SUMMARY OF 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.1N 111.6W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM ENE OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM S OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF AROUND 18 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND SONORA. A 24-HOUR
RAINFALL TOTAL OF 5.72 INCHES...146 MM...HAS BEEN REPORTED AT LA PAZ
MEXICO SO FAR.

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簽到天數: 582 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

蜜露|2014-9-16 10:34 | 顯示全部樓層


奧黛特颶風 橫掃了墨西哥的南下加州..報導好像說也是登陸這裡紀錄最強的?





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