19P.Hadi 風切阻撓發展受限NRL暫撤

蜜露 · 2014-3-14 12:18

預測顯示那個吉莉安. 還有機會出海增強後移到印度洋海域 = = 而94W預測也是一個颱風. 接近菲律賓

甜心 · 2014-3-14 16:03

19p.Hadi 風暴從今天雲圖看起來過去一天組織略微擴張強度也略增，雲圖顯示這個氣旋目前正一路向東移動中...。

KINGRIC · 2014-3-14 20:07

本帖最後由 KINGRIC 於 2014-3-14 22:21 編輯

NRL跟FNMOC皆看不到Hadi的蹤跡了
大概已被撤編不過FMS仍維持Tropical Disturbance 20F
報文中提到受到中到強烈風切的影響
目前環境對他暫時不利....
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TD20F [1003HPA] WAS ANALYSED NEAR 14.0S 170.0E
AT 140600 UTC. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL
SURFACE REPORTS. TD20F SLOW MOVING. SST AROUND 30 DEGREES CELCIUS.

ORGANISATION REMAINS POOR PAST 12 HOURS. CONVECTION HAS NOT INCREASED
MUCH. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDS UPTO 700HPA. SYSTEM LIES UNDER AN
UPPER RIDGE IN A MODERATE TO HIGH SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED THE SYSTEM AND MOVE IT EASTWARDS WITH
LITTLE INTENSIFICATION.

POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE
NEXT 24-48 HOURS IS LOW.

NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.