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krichard2011|2013-12-30 09:16
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顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 krichard2011 於 2013-12-30 09:16 編輯
MFR這報上看強烈熱帶氣旋 100 kt
從底層掃描來看 看似會是隻小鋼炮...
WTIO30 FMEE 300048
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
0.A WARNING NUMBER: 7/4/20132014
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 4 (BEJISA)
2.A POSITION 2013/12/30 AT 0000 UTC:
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.9 S / 52.8 E
(TEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY TWO DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST)
MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 4 KT
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: 3.5/3.5/D 1.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 996 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 45 KT
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) :28 KM
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 90 SE: 50 SW: 60 NW: 80
34 KT NE: 60 SE: 40 SW: 50 NW: 60
7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 600 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2013/12/30 12 UTC: 11.8 S / 53.0 E, MAX WIND=060 KT, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM
24H: 2013/12/31 00 UTC: 12.9 S / 53.2 E, MAX WIND=075 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE
36H: 2013/12/31 12 UTC: 14.0 S / 53.4 E, MAX WIND=090 KT, INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE
48H: 2014/01/01 00 UTC: 15.7 S / 53.7 E, MAX WIND=100 KT, INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE
60H: 2014/01/01 12 UTC: 17.1 S / 54.0 E, MAX WIND=090 KT, INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE
72H: 2014/01/02 00 UTC: 18.3 S / 54.4 E, MAX WIND=080 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE
2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK :
96H: 2014/01/03 00 UTC: 20.8 S / 56.3 E, MAX WIND=070 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE
120H: 2014/01/04 00 UTC: 23.0 S / 55.9 E, MAX WIND=050 KT, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM
2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=3.5-
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